Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -450 PSU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +19 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -6.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-37.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -6.3 (+12.7) | 150.6 (-33.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.3 (+12.7) | 150.8 (-33.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -6.6 (+12.4) | 148.3 (-31.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -6.5 (+12.5) | 149.0 (-32.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NEB 87 – 64 PSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PSU 89 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NEB 72 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | PSU 76 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 28, 2022 | NEB 93 – 70 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 18-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#54) | 6.5 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#47) | 0.63 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#42) | 1.19 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#58) | 0.506 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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