Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +23 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -11.2 (-34.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -10.7 (-33.7) | 142.6 (+20.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -10.7 (-33.7) | 142.5 (+20.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -10.7 (-33.7) | 141.2 (+21.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -11.2 (-34.2) | 141.2 (+21.8) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NEB 87 – 64 PSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PSU 89 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NEB 68 – 49 PSU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NEB 72 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | PSU 76 – 65 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-12 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#80) | -1.1 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#87) | -0.55 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#82) | -0.17 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.451 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.