Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NEB +155 PSU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -2.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -2.0 (+11.0) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -2.5 (+11.5) | 133.9 (+1.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -1.8 (+10.8) | 134.7 (+0.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -1.8 (+10.8) | 134.9 (+0.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NEB 87 – 64 PSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PSU 89 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NEB 68 – 49 PSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | PSU 76 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 28, 2022 | NEB 93 – 70 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#108) | 9.5 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#94) | 1.72 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#92) | 2.38 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#124) | 0.558 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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