Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -2100 PSU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -19.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -17.5 (+5.5) | 143.5 (+7.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -15.2 (+7.8) | 145.8 (+5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -16.4 (+6.6) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -17.3 (+5.7) | 144.7 (+6.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | PSU 89 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NEB 68 – 49 PSU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NEB 72 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | PSU 76 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 28, 2022 | NEB 93 – 70 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-17 |
| Home | 16-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 19.4 (#17) | 2.5 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#12) | 0.28 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.64 (#11) | 0.12 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#20) | 0.493 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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