Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -500 FAMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +22 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -9.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -9.3 (+12.7) | 140.8 (-8.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -8.0 (+14.0) | 141.7 (-9.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -7.5 (+14.5) | 142.1 (-10.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -8.0 (+14.0) | 143.0 (-11.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#292) | -13.8 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#253) | -2.52 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#275) | -3.30 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#251) | 0.400 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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