Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +188 BYU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +10 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -11.9 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -10.3 (+20.3) | 146.7 (+29.3) | 20% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BYU -9.4 (+19.4) | 148.7 (+27.3) | 26% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | BYU -9.6 (+19.6) | 146.3 (+29.7) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -9.4 (+19.4) | 147.1 (+28.9) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | OKST 99 – 92 BYU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BYU 85 – 69 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | BYU 85 – 71 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#117) | 18.9 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#173) | 2.21 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | 2.71 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#209) | 0.593 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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