Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +320 BYU -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +7 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -6.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -7.4 (+14.4) | 160.3 (+30.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BYU -5.7 (+12.7) | 160.0 (+31.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | BYU -4.2 (+11.2) | 160.9 (+30.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -4.6 (+11.6) | 159.1 (+31.9) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2025 | BYU 85 – 69 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | BYU 85 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OKST 93 – 83 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#58) | 19.8 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#42) | 3.68 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#47) | 4.56 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#65) | 0.642 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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