Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LR -600 USI +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | LR -10.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -10.8 (+7.2) | 145.2 (-3.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -8.5 (+9.5) | 146.0 (-4.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -9.1 (+8.9) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -9.4 (+8.6) | 145.2 (-3.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LR 89 – 70 USI |
| Dec 19, 2025 | LR 77 – 62 USI |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LR 74 – 56 USI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LR 78 – 58 USI |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LR 77 – 75 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#233) | -10.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#234) | -2.43 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#234) | -2.87 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#267) | 0.403 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 35.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.