Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -400 SCST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -9.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.9 (-3.9) | 136.2 (+1.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -6.6 (-2.6) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -5.9 (-1.9) | 137.1 (+0.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -5.7 (-1.7) | 137.1 (+0.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Home | 15-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#240) | -10.1 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#204) | -1.51 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#218) | -1.82 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#229) | 0.423 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 36.7% |
Game Analysis
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