You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -9.5 Home covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money WRST -600 / RMU +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +30 172 Won
Massey WRST -8.6 (+21.4) — —
Massey Totals — 171.3 (+0.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -9.0 (+21.0) 162.1 (+9.9) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -6.6 (+23.4) 158.0 (+14.0) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -7.1 (+22.9) 160.6 (+11.4) 78% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -7.0 (+23.0) 162.9 (+9.1) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 RMU 81 – 68 WRST
Feb 5, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 WRST
Mar 7, 2025 RMU 83 – 62 WRST
Feb 2, 2025 WRST 66 – 64 RMU
Jan 12, 2025 RMU 75 – 72 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST RMU
Overall 18-14 10-22
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 9-7 7-9
Away 7-6 3-13
Neutral 2-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 86.2 72.2
Avg Pts Against 82.8 77.4
Massey -0.1 (#163) -5.3 (#269)
Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#181) -1.52 (#307)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.11 (#178) -1.91 (#312)
RPI 0.506 (#165) 0.444 (#284)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST RMU
FG% 52.6% 44.1%
3PT% 37.0% 33.4%
REB / G 33.5 35.1
OREB / G 9.1 12.6
AST / TO 1.33 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.0% 50.9%
TOV% 16.7% 19.7%
ORB% 29.1% 35.1%
FT Rate 25.2% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 16.9%
DRB% 70.6% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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