He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -1.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money RMU -102 / WRST -118
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +6 138 Won
Massey WRST -2.5 (+8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 150.5 (-12.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 44% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 39% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WRST -1.7 (+7.7) 148.2 (-10.2) 43% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -0.4 (+6.4) 145.9 (-7.9) 50% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -1.3 (+7.3) 146.8 (-8.8) 45% ✗
Baseline ML WRST -1.8 (+7.8) 148.6 (-10.6) 44% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 RMU 81 – 68 WRST
Mar 7, 2025 RMU 83 – 62 WRST
Feb 2, 2025 WRST 66 – 64 RMU
Jan 12, 2025 RMU 75 – 72 WRST
Feb 17, 2024 WRST 101 – 71 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU WRST
Overall 22-11 23-12
Conference 13-7 15-5
Home 14-3 11-5
Away 8-7 9-5
Neutral 0-1 3-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.8 79.8
Avg Pts Against 73.4 75.6
Massey -3.0 (#214) 2.4 (#135)
Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#194) 0.53 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#196) 0.71 (#112)
RPI 0.481 (#213) 0.531 (#113)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU WRST
FG% 46.3% 48.4%
3PT% 37.5% 35.7%
REB / G 37.0 33.9
OREB / G 13.1 10.5
AST / TO 1.34 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 54.6%
TOV% 19.1% 16.3%
ORB% 37.9% 32.1%
FT Rate 20.5% 27.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 17.1%
DRB% 71.3% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 34.1% 25.7%

Game Analysis

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