You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Robert Morris Colonials
83 – 62
FINAL Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Wright State Raiders
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · March 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money RMU -280 / WRST +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +21 145 Won
Massey RMU -6.8 (+14.2) — —
Massey Totals — 153.0 (-8.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -7.3 (+13.7) 151.1 (-6.1) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -5.2 (+15.8) 148.1 (-3.1) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -7.1 (+13.9) 149.0 (-4.0) 78% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -6.4 (+14.6) 149.9 (-4.9) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 RMU 81 – 68 WRST
Feb 5, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 WRST
Feb 2, 2025 WRST 66 – 64 RMU
Jan 12, 2025 RMU 75 – 72 WRST
Feb 17, 2024 WRST 101 – 71 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU WRST
Overall 26-9 15-18
Conference 15-5 8-12
Home 16-2 11-4
Away 8-6 3-12
Neutral 2-1 1-2
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 76.5
Avg Pts Against 71.6 77.5
Massey 0.5 (#154) -3.1 (#217)
Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#119) -0.67 (#231)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.53 (#128) -0.71 (#223)
RPI 0.533 (#114) 0.482 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU WRST
FG% 44.8% 49.0%
3PT% 34.2% 39.2%
REB / G 36.8 34.5
OREB / G 12.1 9.2
AST / TO 1.18 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 56.4%
TOV% 18.7% 17.6%
ORB% 34.8% 28.4%
FT Rate 27.6% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 14.2%
DRB% 71.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 24.0%

Game Analysis

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