That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Robert Morris Colonials
83 62
FINAL Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Wright State Raiders
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · March 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money RMU -280 / WRST +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +21 145 Won
Massey RMU -6.8 (+14.2)
Massey Totals 153.0 (-8.0)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 87%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -5.2 (+15.8) 148.1 (-3.1) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -7.1 (+13.9) 149.0 (-4.0) 78%
Baseline ML RMU -6.4 (+14.6) 149.9 (-4.9) 80%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -7.3 (+13.7) 151.1 (-6.1) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 RMU 8168 WRST
Feb 5, 2026 RMU 7266 WRST
Feb 2, 2025 WRST 6664 RMU
Jan 12, 2025 RMU 7572 WRST
Feb 17, 2024 WRST 10171 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU WRST
Overall 26-9 15-18
Conference 15-5 8-12
Home 16-2 11-4
Away 8-6 3-12
Neutral 2-1 1-2
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 76.5
Avg Pts Against 71.6 77.5
Massey 0.5 (#154) -3.1 (#217)
Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#119) -0.67 (#231)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.53 (#128) -0.71 (#223)
RPI 0.533 (#114) 0.482 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU WRST
FG% 44.8% 49.0%
3PT% 34.2% 39.2%
REB / G 36.8 34.5
OREB / G 12.1 9.2
AST / TO 1.18 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 56.4%
TOV% 18.7% 17.6%
ORB% 34.8% 28.4%
FT Rate 27.6% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 14.2%
DRB% 71.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 24.0%

Game Analysis

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