He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money RMU -115 / WRST -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +3 147 Won
Massey RMU -0.7 (+2.3)
Massey Totals 148.1 (-1.1)
Bradley-Terry 63%
Weighted B-T 56%
Efficiency Plus ML WRST -0.3 (+3.3) 145.1 (+1.9) 58%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -0.6 (+2.4) 145.4 (+1.6) 55%
Baseline ML RMU -0.3 (+2.7) 148.0 (-1.0) 51%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -0.1 (+2.9) 147.2 (-0.2) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 RMU 8168 WRST
Feb 5, 2026 RMU 7266 WRST
Mar 7, 2025 RMU 8362 WRST
Feb 2, 2025 WRST 6664 RMU
Feb 17, 2024 WRST 10171 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU WRST
Overall 26-9 15-18
Conference 15-5 8-12
Home 16-2 11-4
Away 8-6 3-12
Neutral 2-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 76.5
Avg Pts Against 71.6 77.5
Massey -4.0 (#238) -0.8 (#175)
Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#196) -0.08 (#177)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.48 (#200) 0.09 (#162)
RPI 0.475 (#218) 0.499 (#173)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU WRST
FG% 41.2% 48.6%
3PT% 29.4% 37.7%
REB / G 38.4 32.9
OREB / G 13.1 7.3
AST / TO 0.98 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 55.8%
TOV% 19.2% 16.8%
ORB% 34.0% 23.0%
FT Rate 29.0% 18.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 15.1%
DRB% 72.5% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 20.9%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.