Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -1200 MAN +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -14.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -13.3 (-3.3) | 145.2 (-9.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.6 (-1.6) | 144.6 (-8.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.3 (-1.3) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -11.7 (-1.7) | 146.3 (-10.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#180) | -11.3 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#203) | -2.11 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#191) | -3.07 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#169) | 0.430 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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