Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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80–39 on winners spread MAE 8.1 119 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Dayton @ VCU -1.9 132.2 49% 47–49 ✗
San Diego State @ Nevada +1.6 143.1 59% 66–70 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +16.5 144.4 90% 47–66 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -16.7 146.4 12% 89–64 ✓
Wisconsin @ Rutgers -2.8 130.9 46% 56–78 ✗
Alabama @ LSU -7.5 170.8 25% 109–92 ✓
Clemson @ Syracuse -1.6 149.9 44% 77–68 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ George Washington -3.0 148.7 33% 81–73 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ IU Indianapolis -13.3 141.9 14% 92–65 ✓
UT Martin @ Western Illinois +1.8 143.2 58% 62–59 ✗
Columbia @ Brown +0.2 142.6 51% 83–69 ✗
Creighton @ Xavier +0.2 152.2 53% 78–71 ✗
Saint Louis @ Saint Joseph's +11.0 153.7 85% 86–87 ✓
Vanderbilt @ South Carolina +14.4 132.6 87% 60–75 ✓
Toledo @ App State +6.5 151.6 75% 104–109 ✓
High Point @ Gardner-Webb -1.2 154.5 45% 78–62 ✓
Monmouth @ Northeastern +0.2 142.8 50% 65–77 ✓
Iona @ Canisius -0.3 146.2 51% 69–73 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut +8.8 145.6 81% 62–71 ✓
Samford @ VMI -16.4 162.8 14% 102–63 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC -8.5 146.6 18% 72–70 ✓
Navy @ Army +0.7 127.7 54% 67–69 ✓
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +7.5 139.4 80% 84–83 ✗
Boston College @ Duke +10.5 147.0 85% 65–80 ✓
Illinois @ Michigan State +1.6 143.8 64% 80–88 ✓
TCU @ Iowa State +7.4 148.3 80% 59–71 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Georgia State +4.9 144.8 71% 53–73 ✓
Central Michigan @ Old Dominion +1.4 139.5 54% 58–57 ✗
Western Michigan @ Southern Miss +5.7 138.1 71% 54–86 ✓
Indiana State @ Missouri State -7.2 153.1 23% 73–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Hampton -12.8 146.5 15% 95–65 ✓
Stony Brook @ Campbell -3.3 139.8 33% 77–95 ✗
Hofstra @ North Carolina A&T -8.6 138.6 19% 81–49 ✓
Providence @ Butler +4.6 149.1 73% 72–75 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross -4.8 135.0 31% 56–58 ✗
La Salle @ Richmond +12.1 143.6 86% 65–82 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +5.4 135.0 69% 75–69 ✗
Boston University @ Bucknell +4.4 130.7 66% 77–62 ✗
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's -0.1 132.9 48% 64–62 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +0.3 157.9 57% 60–71 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +3.4 150.9 62% 78–80 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +9.6 131.9 82% 59–77 ✓
Bryant @ Binghamton -2.6 143.6 40% 70–69 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota +4.0 146.9 73% 65–47 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota State +0.7 146.9 60% 79–81 ✓
New Orleans @ East Texas A&M +4.5 143.3 65% 83–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +9.9 151.9 85% 79–77 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International +1.8 139.9 60% 68–66 ✗
George Mason @ Davidson +1.2 137.3 55% 57–55 ✗
Ohio @ Arkansas State +2.0 155.6 61% 87–100 ✓
Buffalo @ Georgia Southern +7.7 148.4 70% 82–81 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ UL Monroe +5.6 142.1 69% 76–82 ✓
Northern Illinois @ South Alabama +3.3 151.4 66% 66–75 ✓
West Virginia @ Texas +11.8 144.1 86% 58–94 ✓
South Florida @ Rice -4.2 142.7 35% 69–65 ✓
Winthrop @ Longwood -0.1 143.5 44% 74–84 ✗
Chicago State @ South Carolina State -0.2 136.3 52% 55–78 ✗
Fresno State @ Air Force +0.3 137.0 49% 68–66 ✗
Le Moyne @ Merrimack +7.0 137.6 73% 50–66 ✓
Mercer @ Western Carolina +7.0 139.3 78% 46–79 ✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville -0.1 144.5 58% 63–67 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington +0.8 145.8 58% 63–71 ✓
Auburn @ Florida -1.0 158.9 54% 65–81 ✗
Drexel @ Charleston +3.8 143.6 73% 70–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Morehead State +14.1 131.6 87% 57–69 ✓
Alcorn State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +1.0 156.2 51% 68–56 ✗
North Carolina @ Miami -3.0 151.9 39% 75–72 ✓
Houston @ Cincinnati -4.5 132.6 25% 67–62 ✓
Gonzaga @ Kentucky +4.4 163.7 65% 89–85 ✗
UCF @ Texas Tech +5.5 138.6 73% 59–66 ✓
NC State @ Wake Forest +8.6 147.4 80% 79–83 ✓
East Carolina @ UTSA -1.8 148.3 40% 84–73 ✓
Belmont @ Valparaiso -3.6 148.1 35% 96–78 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +4.3 136.9 70% 70–73 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate -3.3 145.8 34% 77–64 ✓
William & Mary @ Delaware +13.3 142.7 88% 58–69 ✓
Maryland @ Ohio State +3.1 132.9 63% 75–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ Florida A&M -3.5 135.2 30% 78–75 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's -1.2 148.3 44% 79–96 ✗
Stonehill @ Saint Francis +3.4 132.4 74% 63–72 ✓
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +2.1 148.4 66% 89–61 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +13.8 144.8 87% 67–79 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NJIT -7.5 141.1 21% 64–71 ✗
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +4.7 150.2 72% 72–83 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State -2.9 137.5 36% 69–59 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +1.7 146.4 61% 78–84 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +3.9 141.6 69% 45–74 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.0 129.6 57% 71–73 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -2.2 144.2 46% 71–76 ✗
Montana @ Northern Colorado +0.1 155.8 50% 71–87 ✓
Kent State @ Troy +6.5 147.4 80% 68–78 ✓
Radford @ Presbyterian -1.5 139.4 43% 73–76 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood +0.5 132.9 46% 62–53 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian -0.4 148.6 47% 83–86 ✗
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State -6.5 135.7 28% 77–74 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Stetson +2.9 150.5 68% 79–87 ✓
Ball State @ Texas State +2.4 134.0 62% 60–68 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +1.7 145.3 61% 62–56 ✗
Alabama State @ Grambling +0.8 127.1 52% 68–74 ✓
Colgate @ Loyola Maryland -11.1 132.7 14% 76–62 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Denver -1.7 148.7 41% 77–94 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese +12.6 140.9 87% 67–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Lipscomb +6.7 166.9 80% 95–101 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -3.1 138.2 42% 78–85 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State -0.0 145.6 50% 70–59 ✓
Queens University @ Austin Peay +3.8 153.1 72% 76–79 ✓
UCLA @ California +1.5 137.9 57% 61–60 ✗
Baylor @ Kansas +4.1 152.1 77% 61–64 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette +6.9 148.4 82% 75–86 ✓
Akron @ James Madison +6.7 143.2 73% 59–73 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame -5.2 131.7 36% 66–74 ✗
Drake @ Bradley +1.8 149.1 60% 74–67 ✗
Georgia @ Arkansas +0.2 148.1 52% 75–78 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State +0.5 143.0 57% 65–63 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Princeton +12.4 138.5 88% 70–77 ✓
Tarleton State @ Seattle U +4.8 140.5 69% 82–77 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Louisville +0.6 152.1 51% 67–79 ✓
Michigan @ Nebraska +6.8 153.2 78% 59–79 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Southern +11.8 144.7 86% 62–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.