Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -600 PENN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -14.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -12.1 (-5.1) | 137.9 (+9.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -12.3 (-5.3) | 139.6 (+7.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -12.4 (-5.4) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -12.9 (-5.9) | 138.6 (+8.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PENN 61 – 60 PRIN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | PRIN 78 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PRIN 95 – 71 PENN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | PRIN 61 – 59 PENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PRIN 105 – 83 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 3-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 11-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#64) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#29) | -0.79 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#35) | -0.68 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#23) | 0.466 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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