Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +150 CBU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -4.2 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -4.6 (+11.6) | 138.1 (+24.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -2.8 (+9.8) | 136.3 (+26.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -3.1 (+10.1) | 138.2 (+24.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -3.5 (+10.5) | 138.1 (+24.9) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | CBU 86 – 72 UTU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UTU 70 – 65 CBU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CBU 73 – 64 UTU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CBU 84 – 72 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CBU 61 – 57 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#293) | 0.4 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#247) | 0.01 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#254) | 0.24 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#244) | 0.481 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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