Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | UNF -700 CARK +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -12.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -10.7 (-12.7) | 153.3 (+2.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -9.8 (-11.8) | 154.5 (+1.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -10.2 (-12.2) | 150.9 (+5.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -9.9 (-11.9) | 151.9 (+4.1) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CARK 98 – 69 UNF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CARK 84 – 83 UNF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNF 92 – 80 CARK |
| Jan 27, 2023 | CARK 88 – 85 UNF |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UNF 93 – 74 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#259) | -13.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#235) | -1.93 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#228) | -2.39 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#263) | 0.389 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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