Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +19 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -8.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -4.8 (+14.2) | 148.5 (+18.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -5.1 (+13.9) | 149.1 (+17.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -4.4 (+14.6) | 146.6 (+20.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -5.2 (+13.8) | 147.4 (+19.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CARK 98 – 69 UNF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CARK 84 – 83 UNF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNF 92 – 80 CARK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CARK 79 – 77 UNF |
| Jan 27, 2023 | CARK 88 – 85 UNF |
Game Analysis
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