Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -300 ACU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +29 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -5.6 (+23.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.4 (+22.6) | 141.8 (-22.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.2 (+24.8) | 140.1 (-21.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.9 (+25.1) | 141.6 (-22.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.9 (+25.1) | 143.4 (-24.4) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#201) | -4.5 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | -0.87 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#197) | -0.80 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#201) | 0.444 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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