He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–14 on winners spread MAE 8.5 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Temple -6.6 149.1 34% 84–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Monmouth +10.1 144.9 86% 64–68 ✓
Stony Brook @ Elon -3.0 145.6 35% 79–64 ✓
Northeastern @ Campbell -1.2 138.8 41% 86–76 ✓
Hofstra @ Hampton -10.4 142.2 15% 63–59 ✓
Drexel @ UNC Wilmington +3.5 137.2 67% 56–75 ✓
Delaware @ Towson +2.9 133.8 66% 74–62 ✗
Iowa @ Penn State -1.0 158.0 49% 79–89 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +5.5 133.4 74% 73–84 ✓
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +8.3 143.0 80% 78–82 ✓
Marist @ Siena -8.8 125.0 16% 67–51 ✓
Iona @ Niagara +0.3 148.6 51% 74–71 ✗
Rider @ Fairfield +4.6 148.5 72% 67–84 ✓
Merrimack @ Long Island University -9.8 134.0 15% 82–79 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut +5.1 141.5 75% 70–77 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.2 137.2 47% 66–62 ✗
Le Moyne @ Stonehill -3.1 141.3 28% 88–57 ✓
Samford @ UNC Greensboro -0.6 156.7 43% 78–69 ✓
Green Bay @ Robert Morris -1.4 142.2 45% 81–76 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky -1.1 146.3 44% 89–99 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +15.5 159.3 90% 85–92 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -10.9 133.1 15% 61–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UMBC -6.3 159.6 29% 93–80 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant +2.6 155.1 61% 66–85 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida +2.6 154.6 61% 79–74 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville +7.4 146.2 79% 55–59 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Liberty +10.9 134.5 84% 53–88 ✓
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State +2.4 133.7 61% 68–79 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +11.2 147.1 86% 84–92 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -2.8 162.3 39% 105–99 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado +12.8 145.7 87% 70–82 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Charleston +15.1 154.7 88% 58–80 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota -3.7 166.1 39% 86–92 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota +1.8 146.1 60% 78–99 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +4.9 141.5 70% 63–85 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +2.2 143.2 64% 78–82 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +8.8 162.5 81% 88–90 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Austin Peay +2.4 155.8 71% 69–85 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley -0.2 137.2 44% 72–61 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +4.6 158.3 69% 70–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri State -0.5 133.7 47% 69–88 ✗
Little Rock @ Western Illinois +2.8 139.9 56% 63–60 ✗
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood -5.7 136.2 27% 65–55 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +1.1 133.3 54% 81–71 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ UAB -5.3 155.1 36% 73–76 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State +10.6 132.9 86% 68–79 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech -1.2 149.9 45% 68–70 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +4.2 132.0 72% 58–71 ✓
Portland State @ Weber State +9.5 142.6 82% 72–84 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -4.8 140.1 34% 94–66 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +4.8 132.7 69% 40–68 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon State -6.1 144.0 31% 64–58 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +3.8 158.4 73% 80–85 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +2.3 136.9 62% 63–64 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U +9.0 146.7 82% 52–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge +9.2 138.1 81% 65–78 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +1.7 132.7 58% 63–65 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -2.7 141.4 38% 76–61 ✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -8.8 145.3 20% 80–74 ✓
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i -2.7 141.4 37% 86–94 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.