Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -135 WAG +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -0.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.2 (-4.2) | 136.6 (-8.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -0.1 (-4.1) | 138.5 (-10.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -0.1 (-4.1) | 138.9 (-10.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -0.2 (-4.2) | 137.2 (-9.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WAG 75 – 72 FDU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | FDU 68 – 61 WAG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FDU 69 – 58 WAG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | FDU 71 – 59 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FDU 57 – 54 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#330) | -7.2 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#310) | -1.43 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#320) | -2.01 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#313) | 0.430 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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