Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -150 TAR +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -1.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -1.6 (-12.6) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -0.3 (-11.3) | 136.5 (-3.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -0.2 (-10.8) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -0.7 (-10.3) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#193) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#191) | 0.64 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#183) | 0.77 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#196) | 0.541 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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