Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +155 SUU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -1.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -2.4 (+4.4) | 148.8 (-10.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.2 (+3.2) | 148.3 (-10.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -1.2 (+3.2) | 149.9 (-11.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -1.8 (+3.8) | 151.0 (-13.0) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#293) | -2.4 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#260) | -0.74 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#258) | -0.58 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#262) | 0.455 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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