Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SUU +170 UTU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +7 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -0.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -0.3 (-7.3) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -0.5 (-7.5) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -0.3 (-6.7) | 139.4 (-2.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -0.1 (-6.9) | 140.5 (-3.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SUU 76 – 74 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 2-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#310) | -8.6 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#284) | -2.24 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#281) | -2.38 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#304) | 0.396 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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