Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UTU -345 SUU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -14.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -10.4 (+3.6) | 147.1 (-1.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -10.1 (+3.9) | 147.1 (-1.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -10.8 (+3.2) | 147.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -10.5 (+3.5) | 147.7 (-1.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SUU 76 – 74 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#215) | -14.2 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#225) | -2.06 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#219) | -2.87 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#191) | 0.389 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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