Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -150 UTU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -4.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -3.5 (-1.5) | 140.6 (+9.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -3.2 (-1.2) | 139.4 (+10.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -3.6 (-1.6) | 138.8 (+11.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -3.8 (-1.8) | 138.6 (+11.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 2-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#286) | -9.1 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#279) | -1.81 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#278) | -2.06 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#306) | 0.410 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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