Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | SUU +110 UTU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -3.8 (+17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -3.5 (+17.5) | 151.2 (-3.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -3.2 (+17.2) | 150.8 (-2.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -2.9 (+16.9) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -3.1 (+17.1) | 150.4 (-2.4) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SUU 76 – 74 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#292) | -1.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#252) | 0.56 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#245) | 0.57 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#292) | 0.532 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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