Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTU -170 SUU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -2.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -1.8 (-8.8) | 142.2 (+14.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -0.4 (-7.4) | 141.9 (+15.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -1.5 (-8.5) | 143.1 (+13.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -1.8 (-8.8) | 143.5 (+13.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SUU 76 – 74 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 4-12 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#297) | -7.8 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#326) | -1.24 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#316) | -1.50 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#341) | 0.428 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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