Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -175 WSU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +6 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -1.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.1 (-8.1) | 145.0 (-27.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -1.8 (-7.8) | 143.5 (-25.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.6 (-7.6) | 146.6 (-28.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.7 (-7.7) | 145.3 (-27.3) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2024 | ORE 89 – 84 WSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ORE 75 – 70 WSU |
| Feb 20, 2023 | WSU 68 – 65 ORE |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORE 74 – 60 WSU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | WSU 94 – 74 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#61) | 11.4 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#57) | 1.95 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#62) | 2.29 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#44) | 0.584 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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