Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 134.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +20 168 Won
Massey WSU -4.0 (+16.0)
Massey Totals 137.2 (+30.8)
Bradley-Terry 51%
Weighted B-T 56%
Efficiency Plus ML WSU -4.3 (+15.7) 142.2 (+25.8) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -3.8 (+16.2) 142.5 (+25.5) 67%
Baseline ML WSU -3.8 (+16.2) 144.1 (+23.9) 71%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -4.3 (+15.7) 143.8 (+24.2) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 WSU 6256 ORE
Jan 7, 2024 ORE 8984 WSU
Mar 9, 2023 ORE 7570 WSU
Feb 20, 2023 WSU 6865 ORE
Dec 2, 2022 ORE 7460 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU ORE
Overall 22-15 20-15
Conference 11-9 11-9
Home 13-7 12-5
Away 8-5 6-6
Neutral 1-3 1-4
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 72.3
Avg Pts Against 64.9 70.3
Massey 9.8 (#49) 8.6 (#65)
Bradley-Terry 1.10 (#97) 1.57 (#64)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.63 (#80) 1.93 (#62)
RPI 0.557 (#70) 0.567 (#61)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU ORE
FG% 40.8% 45.2%
3PT% 33.8% 33.7%
REB / G 37.0 34.7
OREB / G 12.8 10.4
AST / TO 0.98 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 51.3%
TOV% 16.9% 17.6%
ORB% 34.5% 30.4%
FT Rate 21.8% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 21.2% 19.9%
DRB% 70.7% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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