See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · February 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money WSU -125 / ORE +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +3 133 Won
Massey WSU -1.9 (+1.1)
Massey Totals 133.3 (-0.3)
Bradley-Terry 49%
Weighted B-T 52%
Efficiency Plus ML WSU -1.8 (+1.2) 136.2 (-3.2) 65%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -1.2 (+1.8) 137.1 (-4.1) 56%
Baseline ML WSU -0.9 (+2.1) 138.2 (-5.2) 54%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -1.5 (+1.5) 135.6 (-2.6) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 WSU 6256 ORE
Jan 7, 2024 ORE 8984 WSU
Mar 9, 2023 ORE 7570 WSU
Dec 2, 2022 ORE 7460 WSU
Mar 5, 2022 WSU 9474 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU ORE
Overall 17-17 21-15
Conference 11-9 12-8
Home 10-4 15-6
Away 4-8 4-6
Neutral 3-5 2-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 70.6
Avg Pts Against 65.7 66.3
Massey 8.5 (#65) 10.2 (#48)
Bradley-Terry 0.62 (#118) 1.28 (#74)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.09 (#101) 1.75 (#64)
RPI 0.521 (#139) 0.552 (#82)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU ORE
FG% 42.1% 45.0%
3PT% 36.2% 31.5%
REB / G 34.9 36.9
OREB / G 11.0 10.9
AST / TO 0.93 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 51.3%
TOV% 19.3% 19.3%
ORB% 32.0% 32.4%
FT Rate 20.3% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 17.0%
DRB% 74.0% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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