I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · February 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money WSU -125 / ORE +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +3 133 Won
Massey WSU -1.9 (+1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 133.3 (-0.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 49% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -1.2 (+1.8) 137.1 (-4.1) 56% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -1.8 (+1.2) 136.2 (-3.2) 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WSU -1.5 (+1.5) 135.6 (-2.6) 54% ✓
Baseline ML WSU -0.9 (+2.1) 138.2 (-5.2) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 WSU 62 – 56 ORE
Jan 7, 2024 ORE 89 – 84 WSU
Mar 9, 2023 ORE 75 – 70 WSU
Dec 2, 2022 ORE 74 – 60 WSU
Mar 5, 2022 WSU 94 – 74 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU ORE
Overall 17-17 21-15
Conference 11-9 12-8
Home 10-4 15-6
Away 4-8 4-6
Neutral 3-5 2-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 70.6
Avg Pts Against 65.7 66.3
Massey 8.5 (#65) 10.2 (#48)
Bradley-Terry 0.62 (#118) 1.28 (#74)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.09 (#101) 1.75 (#64)
RPI 0.521 (#139) 0.552 (#82)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU ORE
FG% 42.1% 45.0%
3PT% 36.2% 31.5%
REB / G 34.9 36.9
OREB / G 11.0 10.9
AST / TO 0.93 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 51.3%
TOV% 19.3% 19.3%
ORB% 32.0% 32.4%
FT Rate 20.3% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 17.0%
DRB% 74.0% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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