We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Pac-12 Conference · Matthew Knight Arena · December 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -4.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money ORE -213 / WSU +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORE win
Actual ORE +14 134 Won
Massey ORE -0.5 (+13.5) — —
Massey Totals — 138.4 (-4.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -0.1 (+13.9) 139.3 (-5.3) 53% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORE -0.2 (+13.8) 136.3 (-2.3) 58% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORE -0.4 (+13.6) 136.8 (-2.8) 53% ✓
Baseline ML ORE -1.0 (+13.0) 138.9 (-4.9) 50% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 WSU 62 – 56 ORE
Jan 7, 2024 ORE 89 – 84 WSU
Mar 9, 2023 ORE 75 – 70 WSU
Feb 20, 2023 WSU 68 – 65 ORE
Mar 5, 2022 WSU 94 – 74 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORE WSU
Overall 21-15 17-17
Conference 12-8 11-9
Home 15-6 10-4
Away 4-6 4-8
Neutral 2-3 3-5
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.6 68.4
Avg Pts Against 66.3 65.7
Massey 4.8 (#91) 10.8 (#35)
Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#205) 0.01 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#158) 0.35 (#161)
RPI 0.488 (#196) 0.486 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors ORE WSU
FG% 43.3% 46.1%
3PT% 29.8% 44.4%
REB / G 38.7 36.2
OREB / G 12.9 10.2
AST / TO 0.95 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 56.0%
TOV% 20.1% 17.7%
ORB% 36.6% 30.7%
FT Rate 21.6% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 45.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 15.8%
DRB% 73.6% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 13.9% 20.9%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.