He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Pac-12 Conference · Matthew Knight Arena · December 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -4.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money ORE -213 / WSU +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORE win
Actual ORE +14 134 Won
Massey ORE -0.5 (+13.5)
Massey Totals 138.4 (-4.4)
Bradley-Terry 75%
Weighted B-T 83%
Efficiency Plus ML ORE -0.2 (+13.8) 136.3 (-2.3) 58%
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -0.1 (+13.9) 139.3 (-5.3) 53%
Baseline ML ORE -1.0 (+13.0) 138.9 (-4.9) 50%
Baseline Plus ML ORE -0.4 (+13.6) 136.8 (-2.8) 53%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 WSU 6256 ORE
Jan 7, 2024 ORE 8984 WSU
Mar 9, 2023 ORE 7570 WSU
Feb 20, 2023 WSU 6865 ORE
Mar 5, 2022 WSU 9474 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORE WSU
Overall 21-15 17-17
Conference 12-8 11-9
Home 15-6 10-4
Away 4-6 4-8
Neutral 2-3 3-5
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.6 68.4
Avg Pts Against 66.3 65.7
Massey 4.8 (#91) 10.8 (#35)
Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#205) 0.01 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#158) 0.35 (#161)
RPI 0.488 (#196) 0.486 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors ORE WSU
FG% 43.3% 46.1%
3PT% 29.8% 44.4%
REB / G 38.7 36.2
OREB / G 12.9 10.2
AST / TO 0.95 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 56.0%
TOV% 20.1% 17.7%
ORB% 36.6% 30.7%
FT Rate 21.6% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 45.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 15.8%
DRB% 73.6% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 13.9% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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