Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -150 WSU +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -1.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -1.6 (+3.4) | 134.7 (+10.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -1.0 (+4.0) | 131.8 (+13.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.4 (+3.6) | 132.5 (+12.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.3 (+3.7) | 134.5 (+10.5) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | WSU 62 – 56 ORE |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ORE 89 – 84 WSU |
| Feb 20, 2023 | WSU 68 – 65 ORE |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORE 74 – 60 WSU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | WSU 94 – 74 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#43) | 9.1 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#75) | 0.99 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#64) | 1.41 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#63) | 0.551 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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