Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -333 LEM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +16 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -8.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.9 (+10.1) | 138.1 (-22.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -7.2 (+8.8) | 136.4 (-20.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -7.0 (+9.0) | 137.6 (-21.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -6.6 (+9.4) | 138.0 (-22.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | MRMK 61 – 51 LEM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MRMK 66 – 62 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#184) | -6.8 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#201) | -1.56 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#216) | -1.97 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#171) | 0.422 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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