Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LEM +163 MRMK -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -3.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -1.2 (-2.8) | 134.7 (-6.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -2.6 (-1.4) | 132.6 (-4.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -2.9 (-1.1) | 133.6 (-5.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -2.6 (-1.4) | 134.3 (-6.3) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | MRMK 61 – 51 LEM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MRMK 66 – 50 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#304) | -0.8 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#295) | -0.34 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#294) | -0.32 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#306) | 0.488 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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