Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -300 LEM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +10 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -8.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.8 (+4.2) | 138.4 (-26.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -7.8 (+2.2) | 135.3 (-23.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -7.1 (+2.9) | 135.6 (-23.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -7.0 (+3.0) | 139.2 (-27.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | MRMK 66 – 50 LEM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MRMK 66 – 62 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#197) | -7.3 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#209) | -1.50 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#219) | -1.96 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.437 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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