Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -175 DRKE +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -2.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -2.7 (-9.7) | 144.3 (-3.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -2.3 (-9.3) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.8 (-8.8) | 149.1 (-8.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.7 (-8.7) | 148.3 (-7.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 16-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#65) | 10.1 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#71) | 1.88 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#78) | 2.33 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#36) | 0.605 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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