Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -333 TAR +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +5 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -7.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -5.6 (-10.6) | 139.8 (+19.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.8 (-9.8) | 139.4 (+19.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.8 (-9.8) | 140.5 (+18.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.3 (-9.3) | 140.9 (+18.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | TAR 67 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEA 91 – 54 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TAR 69 – 66 SEA |
| Jan 20, 2023 | SEA 67 – 47 TAR |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SEA 76 – 68 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#113) | 0.3 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#142) | 0.79 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#119) | 0.95 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#152) | 0.546 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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