Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -275 TAR +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +20 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -6.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.3 (+12.7) | 140.3 (-26.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -5.3 (+14.7) | 141.3 (-27.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -5.8 (+14.2) | 140.4 (-26.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -5.6 (+14.4) | 141.3 (-27.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | TAR 67 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEA 91 – 54 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TAR 69 – 66 SEA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TAR 82 – 77 SEA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SEA 76 – 68 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | 0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#68) | 0.24 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#86) | 0.24 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#77) | 0.520 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 34.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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