Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TAR -120 SEA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TAR -1.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TAR -1.8 (+1.2) | 140.0 (-5.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TAR -2.3 (+0.7) | 138.1 (-3.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -2.0 (+1.0) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -1.9 (+1.1) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | TAR 67 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEA 91 – 54 TAR |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TAR 82 – 77 SEA |
| Jan 20, 2023 | SEA 67 – 47 TAR |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SEA 76 – 68 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#142) | 2.9 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#89) | 0.22 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#99) | 0.52 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#66) | 0.513 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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