Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -600 TAR +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +37 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -12.2 (+24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -10.2 (+26.8) | 130.7 (+14.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -8.3 (+28.7) | 130.0 (+15.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -8.6 (+28.4) | 131.1 (+13.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -10.5 (+26.5) | 130.4 (+14.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | TAR 67 – 64 SEA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TAR 69 – 66 SEA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TAR 82 – 77 SEA |
| Jan 20, 2023 | SEA 67 – 47 TAR |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SEA 76 – 68 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 60.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#155) | -8.6 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#238) | -0.84 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#212) | -1.18 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#231) | 0.465 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.