Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 173.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +1400 SAM -8000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +39 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | SAM -19.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -18.0 (-21.0) | 164.8 (+0.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -14.6 (-24.4) | 164.5 (+0.5) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -15.5 (-23.5) | 163.5 (+1.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -16.4 (-22.6) | 162.8 (+2.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SAM 80 – 61 VMI |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SAM 78 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SAM 95 – 83 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SAM 81 – 68 VMI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SAM 134 – 96 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 15-3 |
| Home | 4-10 | 18-0 |
| Away | 0-15 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 84.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#356) | 7.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.42 (#361) | 2.29 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.92 (#359) | 2.40 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#358) | 0.591 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.