Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CAL -115 UCLA -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +1 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | CAL -2.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -1.8 (-2.8) | 139.0 (-18.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -0.2 (-0.8) | 136.7 (-15.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CAL -2.6 (-3.6) | 137.1 (-16.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -2.0 (-3.0) | 137.9 (-16.9) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | CAL 80 – 72 UCLA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | CAL 66 – 57 UCLA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 43 CAL |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UCLA 81 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 9, 2022 | UCLA 60 – 52 CAL |
Game Analysis
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