Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +8 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -7.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -4.1 (-3.9) | 139.6 (-27.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -7.2 (-0.8) | 136.4 (-24.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCLA -3.5 (-4.5) | 139.7 (-27.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -4.6 (-3.4) | 139.0 (-27.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | CAL 80 – 72 UCLA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UCLA 61 – 60 CAL |
| Jan 7, 2024 | CAL 66 – 57 UCLA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 43 CAL |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UCLA 81 – 57 CAL |
Game Analysis
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