Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Pauley Pavilion · February 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -25.5 Home covered
O/U 126.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +35 121 Won
Massey UCLA -27.0 (+8.0)
Massey Totals 122.7 (-1.7)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -25.9 (+9.1) 130.4 (-9.4) 91%
Model 4 ML UCLA -22.2 (+12.8) 127.5 (-6.5) 90%
Model 3 ML UCLA -24.0 (+11.0) 129.9 (-8.9) 91%
Baseline ML UCLA -26.0 (+9.0) 128.3 (-7.3) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2025 CAL 8072 UCLA
Feb 10, 2024 UCLA 6160 CAL
Jan 7, 2024 CAL 6657 UCLA
Jan 28, 2022 UCLA 8157 CAL
Jan 9, 2022 UCLA 6052 CAL

Game Analysis

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