Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -278 CAL +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +9 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -8.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -5.9 (-14.9) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -8.0 (-17.0) | 135.5 (-12.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -5.1 (-14.1) | 136.2 (-13.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -5.5 (-14.5) | 136.3 (-13.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | CAL 80 – 72 UCLA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UCLA 61 – 60 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 43 CAL |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UCLA 81 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 9, 2022 | UCLA 60 – 52 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#120) | -0.6 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#239) | -1.20 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#227) | -0.96 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#219) | 0.455 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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