Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Pauley Pavilion · January 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -6.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money UCLA -278 / CAL +222
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual CAL +9 123 Lost
Massey UCLA -8.1 (-17.1)
Massey Totals 139.3 (-16.3)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 76%
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -7.0 (-16.0) 138.3 (-15.3) 71%
Model 4 ML UCLA -9.1 (-18.1) 135.4 (-12.4) 80%
Model 3 ML UCLA -6.0 (-15.0) 136.2 (-13.2) 72%
Baseline ML UCLA -6.7 (-15.7) 136.3 (-13.3) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2025 CAL 8072 UCLA
Feb 10, 2024 UCLA 6160 CAL
Feb 19, 2023 UCLA 7843 CAL
Jan 28, 2022 UCLA 8157 CAL
Jan 9, 2022 UCLA 6052 CAL

Game Analysis

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