Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -17.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -15.1 (+8.9) | 138.4 (-0.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -15.3 (+8.7) | 135.5 (+2.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCLA -15.9 (+8.1) | 137.3 (+0.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -16.3 (+7.7) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | CAL 80 – 72 UCLA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UCLA 61 – 60 CAL |
| Jan 7, 2024 | CAL 66 – 57 UCLA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 43 CAL |
| Jan 9, 2022 | UCLA 60 – 52 CAL |
Game Analysis
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