Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -500 MICH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +20 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -7.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -6.9 (+13.1) | 150.6 (-12.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.8 (+13.2) | 152.4 (-14.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -7.3 (+12.7) | 154.3 (-16.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -6.8 (+13.2) | 153.2 (-15.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MICH 75 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2025 | MICH 49 – 46 NEB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 MICH |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MICH 93 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MICH 85 – 79 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 18-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#54) | 5.7 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#45) | 0.38 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#41) | 0.91 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#54) | 0.527 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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