Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -15.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -12.5 (-6.5) | 148.9 (+15.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -14.6 (-8.6) | 150.0 (+14.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -13.7 (-7.7) | 150.1 (+13.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -13.3 (-7.3) | 148.2 (+15.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MICH 75 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2025 | MICH 49 – 46 NEB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 MICH |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEB 79 – 59 MICH |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MICH 93 – 72 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-12 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#43) | -1.5 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#73) | -0.67 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#62) | -0.31 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#60) | 0.469 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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